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Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen

16 September 2023 at 15:00Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Match Summary

Heart Of Midlothian defeated Aberdeen 2:0. The match was played in Premiership 2023.

Rivalry since 2010

Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen Head to Head Results· 46

Heart Of Midlothian and Aberdeen have met 46 times — Heart Of Midlothian won 18, Aberdeen won 16, with 12 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Heart Of Midlothian leads the head-to-head with 18 victories from 46 meetings. A combined 100 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.17 per match (56 for the home side, 44 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 18 matches (39%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 18 games (39%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2024.

Drawn
12
·
16
wins
Total goals
100 · 2.2/match
Both scored
18/46 · 39%
Over 2.5
18/46 · 39%

Recent Meetings

28/02/26Premiership
Match Details
23/11/25Premiership
Match Details
04/08/25Premiership
Match Details
12/01/25Premiership
Match Details
01/12/24Premiership
Match Details
06/10/24Premiership
Match Details
27/01/24Premiership
Match Details
09/12/23Premiership
Match Details
20/05/23Premiership
Match Details
18/03/23Premiership
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Heart Of Midlothian have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Aberdeen show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Heart Of Midlothian.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202625/261.41/4.20/8.00
Match Details
23 Nov 202525/264.10/3.60/1.81
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4 Aug 202525/262.09/3.58/3.38
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12 Jan 202524/252.42/3.35/2.89
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1 Dec 202424/252.41/3.42/2.88
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6 Oct 202424/251.69/3.93/4.77
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27 Jan 202423/242.12/3.40/3.47
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9 Dec 202323/242.62/3.43/2.63
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16 Sept 202323/242.05/3.55/3.35
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16 Oct 202222/232.29/3.47/3.08
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.7%Draw 28.2%Away 29.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.503.20
Max2.153.653.45
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Heart Of Midlothian · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.2%26.6%28.2%
Public market45.1%27.1%27.9%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Heart Of Midlothian
Result vs. Market: Heart Of Midlothian (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Heart Of MidlothianHalf-time:10Aberdeen
12Shots11
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Heart Of Midlothian

W 452D 274L 393
Over 2.548
Goals scored1507

Away Record: Aberdeen

W 457D 285L 453
Over 2.548
Goals scored1496

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026