Premiership· Season 2025
Match Summary
Heart Of Midlothian defeated Falkirk 3:0. The match was played in Premiership 2025. Goals were scored by F. Kent 29′, C. Devlin 34′, B. Spittal 86′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Heart Of Midlothian had 66% possession while Falkirk held 34%. Heart Of Midlothian had 12 shots (4 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Falkirk. Expected goals: Heart Of Midlothian 0.59 — Falkirk 0.30. Heart Of Midlothian made 5 substitutions, Falkirk made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Kyziridis
assist: M. Steinwender
Match Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian had 66% possession against Falkirk's 34%. Heart Of Midlothian registered 12 shots (4 on target) while Falkirk managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 5–5. Fouls committed: 6–17.
Lineups
Heart Of Midlothian lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under Derek McInnes, while Falkirk deployed a 4-1-4-1 under John McGlynn.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Heart Of Midlothian is 6.96, compared to 6.79 for Falkirk. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Heart Of Midlothian's highest-rated starter is H. Milne (7.28), while Falkirk's best-rated player is B. Spencer (7.07).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Heart Of Midlothian have contributed 45 goals and 25 assists this season, led by L. Shankland (16G). Falkirk's starters account for 22 goals and 16 assists, spearheaded by C. Miller (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Heart Of Midlothian deploy 4 defenders rated 7.06 on average, against Falkirk's 4-man backline averaging 6.81. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Heart Of Midlothian field 4 midfielders averaging 6.95, versus Falkirk's 5 rated 6.79. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Heart Of Midlothian start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.82, compared to 1 for Falkirk averaging 7.04. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 76% for Heart Of Midlothian and 75% for Falkirk. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Heart Of Midlothian's starters have collected 41 yellow cards this season, compared to 50 for Falkirk. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Heart Of Midlothian's starting XI is 28.4 (youngest: M. Steinwender (25), oldest: A. Schwolow (33)), while Falkirk average 24.8 (youngest: B. Broggio (18), oldest: C. Donaldson (30)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Heart Of Midlothian's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 24 for Falkirk. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Derek McInnes
Substitutes
Coach: John McGlynn
Rivalry since 2014
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk Head to Head Results· 10
Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk have met 10 times — Heart Of Midlothian won 8, Falkirk won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Heart Of Midlothian leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.90 per match (22 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (30%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Heart Of Midlothian are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2015.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Heart Of Midlothian have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Falkirk show 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Match Prediction
Statistical tip
Double chance: Heart Of Midlothian or draw
Bookmaker Odds
Best price
Heart Of Midlothian
1.45
Dafabet
Draw
5.06
Pinnacle
Falkirk
8.75
Betano
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Heart Of Midlothian dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (83%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (66%) — the odds may underestimate Heart Of Midlothian.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.41 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Max | 1.41 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Heart Of Midlothian
Away Record: Falkirk
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 17 May 2026