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Nacional vs Moreirense

17 January 2021 at 15:00Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
01

Match Summary

Moreirense defeated Nacional 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2020.

Rivalry since 2012

Nacional vs Moreirense Head to Head Results· 18

Nacional and Moreirense have met 18 times — Nacional won 3, Moreirense won 12, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Moreirense leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (17 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nacional are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
48 · 2.7/match
Both scored
11/18 · 61%
Over 2.5
9/18 · 50%

Recent Meetings

07/03/26Primeira Liga
Match Details
04/10/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
27/04/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
14/12/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
18/03/23Segunda Liga
Match Details
09/10/22Segunda Liga
Match Details
23/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
06/05/21Primeira Liga
Match Details
28/01/19Primeira Liga
Match Details
19/08/18Primeira Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Moreirense show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Nacional

LLWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/262.30/3.25/3.00
Match Details
4 Oct 202525/262.37/3.09/3.16
Match Details
27 Apr 202524/252.23/3.03/3.66
Match Details
14 Dec 202424/252.78/3.13/2.63
Match Details
6 May 202120/212.28/3.35/3.18
Match Details
17 Jan 202120/212.38/3.13/3.20
Match Details
28 Jan 201918/191.97/3.36/4.05
Match Details
19 Aug 201818/192.32/3.20/3.20
Match Details
12 Apr 201616/172.27/3.23/3.29
17/04/1716/172.22/3.21/3.41

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.0%Draw 31.9%Away 31.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.353.103.10
Max2.433.193.31
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.1%30.5%29.4%
Public market39.5%30.2%30.2%

Nacional vs Moreirense — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Moreirense
Result vs. Market: Nacional (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NacionalHalf-time:00Moreirense
18Shots15
3Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nacional

W 200D 149L 264
Over 2.547
Goals scored730

Away Record: Moreirense

W 150D 141L 214
Over 2.544
Goals scored534

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026