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Pacos Ferreira vs Moreirense

20 March 2021 at 15:30Estádio da Capital do Móvel, Paços de Ferreira

Match Summary

Pacos Ferreira defeated Moreirense 3:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2020.

Rivalry since 2012

Pacos Ferreira vs Moreirense Head to Head Results· 18

Pacos Ferreira and Moreirense have met 18 times — Pacos Ferreira won 5, Moreirense won 5, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.78 per match (16 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (17%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Pacos Ferreira are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2017.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
32 · 1.8/match
Both scored
6/18 · 33%
Over 2.5
3/18 · 17%

Recent Meetings

31/07/24Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
13/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
20/03/22Primeira Liga
Match Details
01/11/21Primeira Liga
Match Details
03/07/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/12/20Primeira Liga
Match Details
15/07/20Primeira Liga
Match Details
05/01/20Primeira Liga
Match Details
04/03/18Primeira Liga
Match Details
30/09/17Primeira Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Pacos Ferreira have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Moreirense show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Pacos Ferreira.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Mar 202221/222.27/3.23/3.28
Match Details
1 Nov 202121/222.42/3.25/3.01
Match Details
20 Mar 202120/211.89/3.39/4.45
Match Details
1 Dec 202020/213.74/3.27/2.10
Match Details
15 Jul 202019/202.57/3.13/2.83
Match Details
5 Jan 202019/202.15/3.17/3.66
Match Details
30/09/1717/182.06/3.13/3.96
3 Apr 201817/182.25/3.15/3.36
13/08/1616/172.58/3.06/2.91
20/01/1716/172.50/2.99/3.12

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.0%Draw 29.5%Away 22.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.304.33
Max1.933.464.51
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Pacos Ferreira · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.4%28.1%21.6%
Public market50.7%27.6%21.7%

Pacos Ferreira vs Moreirense — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Pacos Ferreira
Result vs. Market: Pacos Ferreira (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Pacos FerreiraHalf-time:30Moreirense
14Shots9
8Shots on target0

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Pacos Ferreira

W 207D 189L 286
Over 2.545
Goals scored743

Away Record: Moreirense

W 150D 141L 214
Over 2.544
Goals scored534

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026