Menu

Estrela vs SC Braga

19 January 2025 at 18:00Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
01

Match Summary

SC Braga defeated Estrela 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024.

Rivalry since 2021

Estrela vs SC Braga Head to Head Results· 6

Estrela and SC Braga have met 6 times — Estrela won 0, SC Braga won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. SC Braga leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.50 per match (8 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Estrela are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2026.

0
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
21 · 3.5/match
Both scored
4/6 · 67%
Over 2.5
4/6 · 67%

Recent Meetings

16/05/26Primeira Liga
Match Details
03/01/26Primeira Liga
Match Details
11/08/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
02/03/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
28/09/23Primeira Liga
Match Details
13/07/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Estrela have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. SC Braga show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Estrela

DLLLLL

SC Braga

DDLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

SC Braga dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
2
5 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate SC Braga.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

3 Jan 202625/266.55/4.30/1.47
Match Details
19 Jan 202524/254.81/3.83/1.69
Match Details
11 Aug 202424/251.37/4.96/7.47
Match Details
2 Mar 202423/241.35/5.17/8.44
Match Details
28 Sept 202323/244.52/3.85/1.68
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 20.8%Draw 26.1%Away 59.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.603.751.67
Max5.003.931.73
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:SC Braga · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market19.6%24.1%56.3%
Public market18.8%24.8%56.4%

Estrela vs SC Braga — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

SC Braga
Result vs. Market: SC Braga (59%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

EstrelaHalf-time:00SC Braga
7Shots13
3Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Estrela

W 20D 31L 50
Over 2.544
Goals scored93

Away Record: SC Braga

W 500D 260L 295
Over 2.548
Goals scored1576

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026