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Estrela vs AVS

11 May 2025 at 15:30Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
01
Away

AVS

Referee: Tiago Martins

Match Summary

AVS defeated Estrela 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024.

Rivalry since 2024

Estrela vs AVS Head to Head Results· 3

Estrela and AVS have met 3 times — Estrela won 1, AVS won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Estrela leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 3 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.67 per match (4 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Estrela are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2025.

1
wins
Drawn
2
·
0
wins
Total goals
5 · 1.7/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

28/02/26Primeira Liga
Match Details
27/09/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
28/12/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 30 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Estrela have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. AVS show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Estrela

DLLLLL

AVS

WWDDDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
2
4 meetings
1
wins

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202625/262.55/3.20/2.65
Match Details
27 Sept 202525/262.05/3.14/3.89
Match Details
11 May 202524/251.89/3.50/4.08
Match Details
28 Dec 202424/252.47/3.06/3.02
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.9%Draw 28.5%Away 24.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.883.413.80
Max1.903.604.36
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Estrela · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.4%27.8%21.7%
Public market49.3%26.0%24.7%
Δ1.1%1.8%2.9%

Estrela vs AVS — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AVS
Result vs. Market: Estrela (53%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

EstrelaHalf-time:00AVS
11Shots18
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Estrela

W 20D 31L 50
Over 2.544
Goals scored93

Away Record: AVS

W 8D 23L 36
Over 2.551
Goals scored52

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026