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Primeira LigaSeason 2025

Moreirense vs Alverca

10 August 2025 at 20:30Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos
21
Referee: H. Malheiro

Match Summary

Moreirense defeated Alverca 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025.

Rivalry since 2026

Moreirense vs Alverca Head to Head Results· 1

Moreirense and Alverca have met 1 times — Moreirense won 0, Alverca won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Alverca leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 1 meeting. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (1 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2026.

Drawn
0
·
1
wins
Total goals
3 · 3.0/match
Both scored
1/1 · 100%
Over 2.5
1/1 · 100%

Recent Meetings

17/01/26Primeira Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Moreirense have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Alverca show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Alverca

LDLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Moreirense.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/262.70/2.82/2.75
Match Details
10 Aug 202525/262.12/3.10/3.82
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.3%Draw 32.3%Away 26.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.102.993.60
Max2.133.204.04
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Moreirense · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.7%31.8%23.5%
Public market44.7%29.3%26.0%
Δ2.5%2.5%

Moreirense vs Alverca — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Moreirense
Result vs. Market: Moreirense (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MoreirenseHalf-time:11Alverca
10Shots7
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Moreirense

W 150D 142L 214
Over 2.544
Goals scored534

Away Record: Alverca

W 58D 46L 100
Over 2.553
Goals scored227

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026