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Benfica vs Estrela

25 January 2026 at 18:00Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
40
Referee: D. Silva

Match Summary

Benfica defeated Estrela 4:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025.

Rivalry since 2021

Benfica vs Estrela Head to Head Results· 8

Benfica and Estrela have met 8 times — Benfica won 8, Estrela won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Benfica leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.75 per match (25 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Benfica are currently unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 7–0 in 2024.

8
wins
Drawn
0
·
0
wins
Total goals
30 · 3.8/match
Both scored
3/8 · 38%
Over 2.5
5/8 · 63%

Recent Meetings

16/08/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
02/02/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
23/11/24Taça de Portugal
Match Details
24/08/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
29/01/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
19/08/23Primeira Liga
Match Details
20/11/22Taça da Liga
Match Details
12/01/21Taça de Portugal
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 70 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Benfica have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Estrela show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Benfica

WDDWWW

Estrela

DLLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Benfica dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

6
wins
draws
0
6 meetings
0
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (85%) — the odds may underestimate Benfica.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Jan 202625/261.10/9.00/19.00
Match Details
16 Aug 202525/2613.30/6.62/1.19
Match Details
2 Feb 202524/259.32/5.58/1.28
Match Details
24 Aug 202424/251.17/7.34/13.74
Match Details
29 Jan 202423/2410.34/5.67/1.27
Match Details
19 Aug 202323/241.07/10.52/23.33
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 90.9%Draw 11.1%Away 5.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.109.0019.00
Max1.109.0019.00
Over 2.5: 66.7%Under 2.5: 40.0%
Market favourite:Benfica · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Benfica
Result vs. Market: Benfica (91%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BenficaHalf-time:10Estrela
15Shots4
8Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Benfica

W 703D 204L 148
Over 2.556
Goals scored2171

Away Record: Estrela

W 20D 31L 50
Over 2.544
Goals scored93

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026