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Nacional vs Rio Ave

25 January 2026 at 15:30Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
40
Referee: I. Vasilica

Match Summary

Nacional defeated Rio Ave 4:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025.

Rivalry since 2010

Nacional vs Rio Ave Head to Head Results· 24

Nacional and Rio Ave have met 24 times — Nacional won 6, Rio Ave won 9, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Rio Ave leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 24 meetings. A combined 53 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.21 per match (26 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Rio Ave are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2025.

Drawn
9
·
9
wins
Total goals
53 · 2.2/match
Both scored
13/24 · 54%
Over 2.5
9/24 · 38%

Recent Meetings

17/08/25Primeira Liga
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10/05/25Primeira Liga
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29/12/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
31/07/24Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
10/04/22Segunda Liga
Match Details
28/11/21Segunda Liga
Match Details
19/05/21Primeira Liga
Match Details
05/02/21Primeira Liga
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17/03/19Primeira Liga
Match Details
05/11/18Primeira Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Rio Ave show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Nacional

LLWWLW

Rio Ave

LDLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings
5
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Rio Ave.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Jan 202625/262.15/3.30/3.30
Match Details
17 Aug 202525/262.29/3.22/3.21
Match Details
10 May 202524/251.98/3.50/3.75
Match Details
29 Dec 202424/252.18/3.16/3.47
Match Details
19 May 202120/215.34/3.68/1.67
Match Details
5 Feb 202120/211.86/3.16/4.93
Match Details
17 Mar 201918/192.70/3.31/2.68
Match Details
5 Nov 201818/191.68/3.90/4.86
Match Details
18/12/1616/171.86/3.39/4.49
29/04/1716/173.11/3.25/2.33

Market Summary

Margin: 7.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 30.3%Away 30.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.303.30
Max2.153.303.30
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Nacional · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Nacional
Result vs. Market: Nacional (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NacionalHalf-time:10Rio Ave
14Shots11
5Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nacional

W 200D 149L 264
Over 2.547
Goals scored730

Away Record: Rio Ave

W 237D 245L 309
Over 2.542
Goals scored848

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026