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Guimaraes vs Estrela

14 February 2026 at 18:00Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
21
Referee: C. Macedo

Match Summary

Guimaraes defeated Estrela 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025.

Rivalry since 2023

Guimaraes vs Estrela Head to Head Results· 6

Guimaraes and Estrela have met 6 times — Guimaraes won 4, Estrela won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 13 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.17 per match (10 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (17%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2024.

Drawn
1
·
1
wins
Total goals
13 · 2.2/match
Both scored
1/6 · 17%
Over 2.5
2/6 · 33%

Recent Meetings

14/09/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
26/07/25Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
16/03/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
27/10/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
21/01/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
13/08/23Primeira Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Guimaraes have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Estrela show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Guimaraes

LLWWDW

Estrela

DLLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Guimaraes dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
6 meetings
0
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Guimaraes.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Feb 202625/261.62/3.50/5.50
Match Details
14 Sept 202525/263.30/3.29/2.21
Match Details
16 Mar 202524/251.44/4.00/7.59
Match Details
27 Oct 202424/254.63/3.41/1.81
Match Details
21 Jan 202423/241.59/3.91/5.69
Match Details
13 Aug 202323/242.45/3.05/2.70
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 8.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.7%Draw 28.6%Away 18.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.623.505.50
Max1.623.505.50
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Guimaraes · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Guimaraes
Result vs. Market: Guimaraes (62%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GuimaraesHalf-time:01Estrela
20Shots7
6Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Guimaraes

W 413D 244L 369
Over 2.546
Goals scored1311

Away Record: Estrela

W 20D 32L 50
Over 2.544
Goals scored95

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026