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Nacional vs SC Braga

28 February 2026 at 18:00Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
12
Referee: D. Rosa

Match Summary

SC Braga defeated Nacional 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025.

Rivalry since 2010

Nacional vs SC Braga Head to Head Results· 25

Nacional and SC Braga have met 25 times — Nacional won 4, SC Braga won 17, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. SC Braga leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 25 meetings. A combined 82 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.28 per match (27 for the home side, 55 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 18 games (72%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.

Drawn
4
·
17
wins
Total goals
82 · 3.3/match
Both scored
15/25 · 60%
Over 2.5
18/25 · 72%

Recent Meetings

23/11/25Taça de Portugal
Match Details
28/09/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
21/02/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
20/09/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
22/12/23Taça da Liga
Match Details
25/04/23Taça de Portugal
Match Details
12/04/23Taça de Portugal
Match Details
28/02/21Primeira Liga
Match Details
17/10/20Primeira Liga
Match Details
18/01/19Primeira Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. SC Braga show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Nacional

LLWWLW

SC Braga

DDLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

SC Braga dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (17%) — the odds may underestimate SC Braga.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202625/265.50/4.20/1.51
Match Details
28 Sept 202525/261.40/4.49/7.55
Match Details
21 Feb 202524/251.57/3.90/5.71
Match Details
20 Sept 202424/255.16/3.96/1.65
Match Details
28 Feb 202120/216.04/3.82/1.60
Match Details
17 Oct 202020/211.36/4.73/8.21
Match Details
18 Jan 201918/194.66/3.76/1.76
Match Details
12 Aug 201818/191.34/5.30/8.35
Match Details
1 Jul 201716/173.52/3.31/2.13
14/05/1716/171.31/5.33/9.68

Market Summary

Margin: 8.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 18.2%Draw 23.8%Away 66.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min5.504.201.51
Max5.504.201.51
Over 2.5: 57.1%Under 2.5: 48.8%
Market favourite:SC Braga · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

SC Braga
Result vs. Market: SC Braga (66%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NacionalHalf-time:01SC Braga
14Shots20
5Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nacional

W 201D 149L 264
Over 2.547
Goals scored732

Away Record: SC Braga

W 500D 261L 295
Over 2.548
Goals scored1578

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026