Primeira Liga· Season 2025
Match Summary
Santa Clara defeated Nacional 2:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by Witi 27′ (o.g.), Elias Manoel 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Santa Clara had 41% possession while Nacional held 59%. Santa Clara had 12 shots (1 on target) compared to 12 (1 on target) for Nacional. Expected goals: Santa Clara 1.37 — Nacional 0.61. Santa Clara made 5 substitutions, Nacional made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Santa Clara and Nacional — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
assist: Fernando
Match Statistics
Santa Clara had 41% possession against Nacional's 59%. Santa Clara registered 12 shots (1 on target) while Nacional managed 12 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 4–6. Fouls committed: 10–16.
Lineups
Santa Clara lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Vasco Matos, while Nacional deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Tiago Margarido.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Santa Clara is 6.85, compared to 6.78 for Nacional. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Santa Clara's highest-rated starter is J. Afonso (7.60), while Nacional's best-rated player is Kaique Pereira (7.04).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Santa Clara have contributed 14 goals and 4 assists this season, led by Gabriel Silva (6G). Nacional's starters account for 28 goals and 12 assists, spearheaded by J. Ramirez (18G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Santa Clara deploy 4 defenders rated 6.77 on average, against Nacional's 4-man backline averaging 6.69. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Santa Clara field 5 midfielders averaging 6.81, versus Nacional's 5 rated 6.75. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Santa Clara start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.64, compared to 1 for Nacional averaging 7.01. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 76% for Santa Clara and 75% for Nacional. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Santa Clara's starters have collected 34 yellow cards this season, compared to 51 for Nacional. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Santa Clara's starting XI is 25.1 (youngest: J. Afonso (18), oldest: G. Paciencia (31)), while Nacional average 26.5 (youngest: C. Goncalves (21), oldest: J. Aurelio (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Santa Clara's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 25 for Nacional. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Vasco Matos
Substitutes
Coach: Tiago Margarido
Rivalry since 2017
Santa Clara vs Nacional Head to Head Results· 13
Santa Clara and Nacional have met 13 times — Santa Clara won 7, Nacional won 2, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Santa Clara leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 41 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.15 per match (26 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (62%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (54%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2026.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Santa Clara have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Nacional show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Match Prediction
Statistical tip
Double chance: draw or Nacional
Bookmaker Odds
Best price
Santa Clara
2.50
Pinnacle
Draw
3.20
Unibet
Nacional
3.30
Unibet
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
38%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Santa Clara dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Santa Clara.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Max | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Santa Clara
Away Record: Nacional
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 17 May 2026