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Las Palmas vs Almeria

27 September 2025 at 20:00Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas

Match Summary

Almeria defeated Las Palmas 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2025. Goals were scored by S. Arribas 37′. 6 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Las Palmas had 63% possession while Almeria held 37%. Las Palmas had 9 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (2 on target) for Almeria. Las Palmas made 5 substitutions, Almeria made 5. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (Miloš Luković 57′).

Match Events

Key match events between Las Palmas and Almeria — 1 goal and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
22′Gui
37′
S. Arribas

assist: A. Munoz

Half Time
46′
Gui GuedesI. Baba
Card upgrade57′
VAR
E. LoiodiceI. Gil
67′
69′
S. ArribasS. Clua
69′
S. DzodicLeo Baptistao
70′
P. SokoA. Puigmal
J. VieraJese
78′
C. GutierrezE. Cedeno
83′
83′
M. FusterPejino
83′
89′
N. MelamedA. Centelles
Full Time

Match Statistics

Las Palmas had 63% possession against Almeria's 37%. Las Palmas registered 9 shots (3 on target) while Almeria managed 13 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–1. Fouls committed: 12–17.

Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots Off Goal
2
10
Total Shots
9
13
Blocked Shots
4
1
Shots inside the Box
5
7
Shots outside the Box
4
6
Fouls
12
17
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
6
0
Ball Possession
63%
37%
Yellow Cards
2
4
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
3
Total Passes
568
346
Accurate Passes
505
274
Pass Accuracy
89%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2018

Las Palmas vs Almeria Head to Head Results· 12

Las Palmas and Almeria have met 12 times — Las Palmas won 4, Almeria won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (10 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (42%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (42%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2021.

Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
24 · 2.0/match
Both scored
5/12 · 42%
Over 2.5
5/12 · 42%

Recent Meetings

Match Details
17/03/24La Liga
Match Details
28/10/23La Liga
Match Details
23/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Las Palmas have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Almeria show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Almeria

LLDWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Almeria.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Sept 202525/262.24/3.26/3.25
Match Details
9 Jan 202221/222.37/3.11/3.18
Match Details
9 Oct 202121/221.76/3.43/4.95
Match Details
14 Feb 202120/211.82/3.52/4.47
Match Details
17 Oct 202020/212.62/2.88/3.07
Match Details
17 Jun 202019/201.84/3.34/4.74
Match Details
14 Sept 201919/202.47/3.03/3.14
Match Details
2 Jun 201918/192.59/3.11/2.83
Match Details
13 Oct 201818/193.13/2.98/2.50
Match Details
31/08/9696/97

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.6%Draw 30.6%Away 30.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.253.25
Max2.283.283.26
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 54.6%
Market favourite:Las Palmas · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.8%29.0%29.2%
Public market42.5%28.8%28.8%

Las Palmas vs Almeria — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Almeria
Result vs. Market: Las Palmas (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Las PalmasHalf-time:01Almeria
9Shots13
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Las Palmas

W 328D 292L 255
Over 2.545
Goals scored1141

Away Record: Almeria

W 282D 202L 223
Over 2.547
Goals scored955

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026