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Albacete vs Malaga

14 December 2025 at 15:15Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete

Match Summary

Malaga defeated Albacete 3:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2025. Goals were scored by E. Galilea 37′ (o.g.), D. Larrubia 52′, D. Lorenzo 59′, Chupe 90′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Albacete had 43% possession while Malaga held 57%. Albacete had 11 shots (5 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Malaga. Albacete made 5 substitutions, Malaga made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Albacete and Malaga — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
E. Galilea

Own Goal

37′
Half Time
PepeH. J. Garcia
46′
59′
D. Lorenzo

assist: I. Merino

65′
J. MunozA. Ochoa
J. LazoV. Valverde
70′
Agus MedinaD. Escriche
70′
C. NevaJogo
70′
77′
C. DotorD. Sanchez
77′
I. MerinoR. Rodriguez
R. RodriguezJ. Betancor
84′
88′
C. PugaD. Murillo
90′
Chupe

Penalty

Full Time

Match Statistics

Albacete had 43% possession against Malaga's 57%. Albacete registered 11 shots (5 on target) while Malaga managed 12 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 6–5. Fouls committed: 9–4.

Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
5
2
Total Shots
11
12
Blocked Shots
1
5
Shots inside the Box
9
11
Shots outside the Box
2
1
Fouls
9
4
Corner Kicks
6
5
Offsides
2
3
Ball Possession
43%
57%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
5
Total Passes
356
484
Accurate Passes
287
413
Pass Accuracy
81%
85%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2018

Albacete vs Malaga Head to Head Results· 11

Albacete and Malaga have met 11 times — Albacete won 4, Malaga won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2018. Malaga leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.27 per match (12 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2023.

Drawn
2
·
5
wins
Total goals
25 · 2.3/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

Match Details
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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Albacete have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Malaga show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Albacete

LWWWWL

Malaga

DWWWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Albacete.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Feb 202625/261.91/3.40/3.90
Match Details
14 Dec 202525/261.95/3.38/3.95
Match Details
15 Mar 202524/251.93/3.29/4.22
Match Details
31 Aug 202424/252.17/3.11/3.63
Match Details
12 Feb 202322/231.90/3.25/4.71
Match Details
4 Sept 202222/232.08/3.25/3.94
Match Details
11 Apr 202120/211.95/3.20/4.30
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3 Jan 202120/212.70/2.81/3.03
Match Details
5 Jul 202019/202.39/2.94/3.33
Match Details
21 Sept 201919/202.60/2.84/3.12
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.3%Draw 29.6%Away 25.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.353.90
Max1.993.403.99
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Albacete · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.8%28.4%23.8%
Public market48.7%27.4%23.9%
Δ1.0%1.0%

Albacete vs Malaga — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Malaga
Result vs. Market: Albacete (51%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlbaceteHalf-time:10Malaga
11Shots12
5Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Albacete

W 348D 336L 393
Over 2.541
Goals scored1201

Away Record: Malaga

W 154D 132L 131
Over 2.539
Goals scored485

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026