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Almeria vs Mirandes

4 May 2026 at 19:30UD Almeria Stadium, Almeria
42
Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera

Match Summary

Almeria defeated Mirandes 4:2. The match was played in Segunda División 2025. Goals were scored by Leo Baptistao 1′, F. Medrano 3′, J. Gutierrez 15′ (o.g.), S. El Jebari 18′, F. Medrano 58′ (o.g.), J. Morcillo 90′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Almeria had 59% possession while Mirandes held 41%. Almeria had 9 shots (3 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Mirandes. Expected goals: Almeria 1.38 — Mirandes 0.97. Almeria made 4 substitutions, Mirandes made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Almeria and Mirandes — 6 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Leo Baptistao

assist: M. Luna

1′
J. Gutierrez

Own Goal

15′
18′
S. El Jebari

assist: H. Novoa Ramos

Half Time
F. Medrano

Own Goal

58′
Leo BaptistaoA. Puigmal
63′
76′
S. El JebariP. Perez
76′
H. Novoa RamosT. Tamarit
82′
A. HouaryJ. Martinez Landa
87′
S. ArribasA. Horta
87′
90+2′
J. HernandezM. Malsa
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Almeria had 59% possession against Mirandes's 41%. Almeria registered 9 shots (3 on target) while Mirandes managed 12 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–6. Fouls committed: 11–14.

Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Total Shots
9
12
Blocked Shots
3
3
Shots inside the Box
5
7
Shots outside the Box
4
5
Fouls
11
14
Corner Kicks
5
6
Offsides
2
2
Ball Possession
59%
41%
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
2
Total Passes
464
321
Accurate Passes
393
232
Pass Accuracy
85%
72%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
0.97
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2016

Almeria vs Mirandes Head to Head Results· 11

Almeria and Mirandes have met 11 times — Almeria won 6, Mirandes won 1, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Almeria leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (20 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (73%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Almeria are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2021.

6
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
31 · 2.8/match
Both scored
8/11 · 73%
Over 2.5
7/11 · 64%

Recent Meetings

Match Details
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Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Almeria have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Mirandes show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Almeria

LLDWWW

Mirandes

WDLLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Almeria dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

6
wins
draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (64%) — the odds may underestimate Almeria.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 May 202625/261.45/4.50/6.00
Match Details
10 Jan 202625/263.56/3.42/2.04
Match Details
25 May 202524/252.16/3.20/3.46
Match Details
13 Dec 202424/251.61/3.77/5.71
Match Details
20 Feb 202221/221.57/3.85/6.27
Match Details
24 Oct 202121/223.24/3.24/2.28
Match Details
25 Apr 202120/213.08/2.98/2.52
Match Details
14 Nov 202020/211.98/3.04/4.44
Match Details
28 Jun 202019/202.99/2.93/2.61
Match Details
7 Dec 201919/201.75/3.36/5.23
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.0%Draw 22.2%Away 16.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.454.506.00
Max1.454.506.00
Over 2.5: 66.7%Under 2.5: 40.0%
Market favourite:Almeria · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Almeria
Result vs. Market: Almeria (69%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlmeriaHalf-time:22Mirandes
9Shots12
3Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Almeria

W 282D 202L 223
Over 2.547
Goals scored955

Away Record: Mirandes

W 162D 142L 197
Over 2.546
Goals scored558

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026