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Brescia vs Napoli

21 February 2020 at 19:45Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
12
Away

Napoli

Referee: D. Orsato

Match Summary

Napoli defeated Brescia 2:1. The match was played in Serie A 2019.

Rivalry since 2010

Brescia vs Napoli Head to Head Results· 3

Brescia and Napoli have met 3 times — Brescia won 0, Napoli won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Napoli leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.33 per match (1 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Napoli are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2019.

0
wins
Drawn
1
·
2
wins
Total goals
4 · 1.3/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

29/09/19Serie A
Match Details
06/03/11Serie A
Match Details
31/10/10Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, Brescia have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Napoli show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
1
6 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (15%) — the odds may underestimate Brescia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Feb 202019/206.15/4.38/1.51
Match Details
29 Sept 201919/201.26/6.00/11.29
Match Details
5 Oct 199897/98
18/01/9897/98
14/05/9594/95
19/12/9494/95

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 16.3%Draw 22.8%Away 66.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min6.004.331.50
Max6.454.491.54
Over 2.5: 60.2%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Napoli · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market15.1%21.7%63.2%
Public market15.7%21.7%62.6%

Brescia vs Napoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Napoli
Result vs. Market: Napoli (66%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BresciaHalf-time:10Napoli
8Shots7
1Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Brescia

W 72D 95L 151
Over 2.553
Goals scored344

Away Record: Napoli

W 451D 234L 239
Over 2.552
Goals scored1486

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026