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Fiorentina vs Lecce

19 March 2023 at 14:00Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
10
Away

Lecce

Referee: R. Abisso

Match Summary

Fiorentina defeated Lecce 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2022.

Rivalry since 2010

Fiorentina vs Lecce Head to Head Results· 13

Fiorentina and Lecce have met 13 times — Fiorentina won 4, Lecce won 5, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Lecce leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.38 per match (18 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (46%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (31%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–6 in 2024.

Drawn
4
·
5
wins
Total goals
31 · 2.4/match
Both scored
6/13 · 46%
Over 2.5
4/13 · 31%

Recent Meetings

20/04/26Serie A
Match Details
02/11/25Serie A
Match Details
28/02/25Serie A
Match Details
20/10/24Serie A
Match Details
02/02/24Serie A
Match Details
27/08/23Serie A
Match Details
17/10/22Serie A
Match Details
15/07/20Serie A
Match Details
30/11/19Serie A
Match Details
05/05/12Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 06 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Fiorentina have recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat. Lecce show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Lecce

WWLWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Lecce.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Apr 202625/263.40/3.40/2.15
Match Details
2 Nov 202525/261.64/3.83/5.75
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28 Feb 202524/251.79/3.45/4.94
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20 Oct 202424/253.17/3.29/2.35
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2 Feb 202423/243.69/3.30/2.09
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27 Aug 202323/241.57/3.93/5.70
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19 Mar 202322/231.62/3.79/5.91
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17 Oct 202222/233.87/3.32/2.06
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15 Jul 202019/203.62/3.72/2.00
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30 Nov 201919/201.41/4.73/7.67
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.6%Draw 26.4%Away 16.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.603.755.75
Max1.643.886.19
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Fiorentina · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.3%25.0%15.7%
Public market58.7%25.0%16.3%

Fiorentina vs Lecce — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Fiorentina
Result vs. Market: Fiorentina (62%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FiorentinaHalf-time:10Lecce
18Shots8
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Away Record: Lecce

W 126D 163L 293
Over 2.551
Goals scored599

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026