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Fiorentina vs Salernitana

3 December 2023 at 14:00Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Referee: P. Tremolada

Match Summary

Fiorentina defeated Salernitana 3:0. The match was played in Serie A 2023.

Rivalry since 2021

Fiorentina vs Salernitana Head to Head Results· 5

Fiorentina and Salernitana have met 5 times — Fiorentina won 3, Salernitana won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.60 per match (12 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (80%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Fiorentina are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2023.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
18 · 3.6/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
4/5 · 80%

Recent Meetings

21/04/24Serie A
Match Details
03/05/23Serie A
Match Details
09/11/22Serie A
Match Details
24/04/22Serie A
Match Details
11/12/21Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Fiorentina have recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat. Salernitana show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (66%) — the odds may underestimate Fiorentina.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Apr 202423/244.99/4.01/1.67
Match Details
3 Dec 202323/241.43/4.71/7.05
Match Details
3 May 202322/234.69/3.79/1.77
Match Details
9 Nov 202222/231.53/4.28/6.31
Match Details
24 Apr 202221/225.54/3.93/1.64
Match Details
11 Dec 202121/221.31/5.36/10.11
Match Details
28/02/9998/99
25/10/9898/99

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.8%Draw 21.2%Away 14.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.404.607.00
Max1.454.797.14
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite:Fiorentina · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market66.4%20.1%13.5%
Public market66.1%20.2%13.7%

Fiorentina vs Salernitana — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Fiorentina
Result vs. Market: Fiorentina (70%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FiorentinaHalf-time:20Salernitana
22Shots11
9Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Fiorentina

W 441D 315L 350
Over 2.551
Goals scored1613

Away Record: Salernitana

W 28D 44L 76
Over 2.557
Goals scored150

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026