Serie A· Season 2025
Match Summary
Cagliari and Fiorentina drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by R. Mandragora 68′, S. Luperto 90′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Cagliari had 45% possession while Fiorentina held 55%. Cagliari had 14 shots (6 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Fiorentina. Expected goals: Cagliari 1.13 — Fiorentina 0.98. Cagliari made 5 substitutions, Fiorentina made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Cagliari and Fiorentina — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Gudmundsson
assist: G. Gaetano
Match Statistics
Cagliari had 45% possession against Fiorentina's 55%. Cagliari registered 14 shots (6 on target) while Fiorentina managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–2. Fouls committed: 18–14.
Rivalry since 2010
Cagliari vs Fiorentina Head to Head Results· 27
Cagliari and Fiorentina have met 27 times — Cagliari won 7, Fiorentina won 13, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Fiorentina leads the head-to-head with 13 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 67 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.48 per match (27 for the home side, 40 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2016.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Fiorentina show 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Fiorentina dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Fiorentina.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Max | 3.38 | 3.32 | 2.29 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 28.6% | 29.1% | 42.2% |
| Public market | 29.2% | 28.7% | 42.1% |
Cagliari vs Fiorentina — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Cagliari
Away Record: Fiorentina
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 13 May 2026