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Genoa vs Lazio

29 September 2025 at 19:45Luigi Ferraris, Genova
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Genoa

03
Away

Lazio

Referee: Giovanni Ayroldi

Match Summary

Lazio defeated Genoa 3:0. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by M. Cancellieri 4′, T. Castellanos 30′, M. Zaccagni 63′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Genoa had 65% possession while Lazio held 35%. Genoa had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 9 (6 on target) for Lazio. Expected goals: Genoa 1.63 — Lazio 1.07. Genoa made 5 substitutions, Lazio made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Lorenzo Colombo 59′).

Match Events

Key match events between Genoa and Lazio — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
4′
M. Cancellieri

assist: T. Castellanos

30′
T. Castellanos

assist: A. Marusic

32′
A. MarusicE. Hysaj
Half Time
Penalty cancelled59′
VAR
P. MasiniN. Stanciu
68′
VitinhaV. Carboni
68′
L. ColomboC. Ekuban
69′
R. MalinovskyiJ. Ekhator
69′
69′
L. PellegriniN. Tavares
A. MartinL. Venturino
84′
84′
M. GilaPatric
84′
T. CastellanosO. Provstgaard
84′
T. BasicPedro
Full Time

Match Statistics

Genoa had 65% possession against Lazio's 35%. Genoa registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Lazio managed 9 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 6–0. Fouls committed: 18–16.

Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots Off Goal
8
3
Total Shots
17
9
Blocked Shots
4
0
Shots inside the Box
10
8
Shots outside the Box
7
1
Fouls
18
16
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
2
Ball Possession
65%
35%
Yellow Cards
5
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
5
Total Passes
503
280
Accurate Passes
431
194
Pass Accuracy
86%
69%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
1.07
Goals Prevented (xGP)
1.30
1.30

Rivalry since 2011

Genoa vs Lazio Head to Head Results· 32

Genoa and Lazio have met 32 times — Genoa won 12, Lazio won 16, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Lazio leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 32 meetings. A combined 103 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.22 per match (44 for the home side, 59 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 18 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 19 games (59%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lazio are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2021.

12
wins
Drawn
4
·
16
wins
Total goals
103 · 3.2/match
Both scored
18/32 · 56%
Over 2.5
19/32 · 59%

Recent Meetings

30/01/26Serie A
Match Details
23/04/25Serie A
Match Details
27/10/24Serie A
Match Details
19/04/24Serie A
Match Details
05/12/23Coppa Italia
Match Details
27/08/23Serie A
Match Details
27/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
10/04/22Serie A
Match Details
17/12/21Serie A
Match Details
02/05/21Serie A
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Genoa have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Lazio show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Genoa

LLDDLW

Lazio

WLLLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Lazio dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
1
10 meetings
8
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Lazio.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Jan 202625/262.20/2.88/4.00
Match Details
29 Sept 202525/263.01/3.06/2.62
Match Details
23 Apr 202524/253.39/3.19/2.31
Match Details
27 Oct 202424/251.53/4.25/6.27
Match Details
19 Apr 202423/243.15/3.15/2.44
Match Details
27 Aug 202323/241.53/3.98/5.85
Match Details
10 Apr 202221/224.26/3.47/1.92
Match Details
17 Dec 202121/221.53/4.21/6.46
Match Details
2 May 202120/211.39/4.90/8.52
Match Details
3 Jan 202120/215.25/3.93/1.66
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.2%Draw 32.7%Away 38.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.002.60
Max3.023.122.63
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.1%31.1%36.8%
Public market31.7%31.7%36.6%

Genoa vs Lazio — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lazio
Result vs. Market: Lazio (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GenoaHalf-time:02Lazio
17Shots10
5Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Genoa

W 221D 221L 308
Over 2.545
Goals scored857

Away Record: Lazio

W 573D 297L 338
Over 2.551
Goals scored1930

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026