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Perugia vs Ascoli

10 September 2022 at 15:15Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
10
Away

Ascoli

Referee: M. Piccinini

Match Summary

Perugia defeated Ascoli 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2022.

Rivalry since 2016

Perugia vs Ascoli Head to Head Results· 16

Perugia and Ascoli have met 16 times — Perugia won 8, Ascoli won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Perugia leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.38 per match (23 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2021.

8
wins
Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
38 · 2.4/match
Both scored
7/16 · 44%
Over 2.5
7/16 · 44%

Recent Meetings

25/01/26Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
14/09/25Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
03/03/25Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
19/10/24Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
11/02/23Serie B
Match Details
05/02/22Serie B
Match Details
28/08/21Serie B
Match Details
30/09/20Coppa Italia
Match Details
21/06/20Serie B
Match Details
29/10/19Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Perugia have recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat. Ascoli show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Perugia

DLDDWD

Ascoli

DLWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Perugia dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

6
wins
draws
2
10 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Perugia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Feb 202322/232.57/3.03/3.01
Match Details
10 Sept 202222/232.31/3.19/3.16
Match Details
5 Feb 202221/222.86/3.02/2.64
Match Details
28 Aug 202121/222.40/3.06/3.19
Match Details
21 Jun 202019/202.62/3.04/2.89
Match Details
29 Oct 201919/201.84/3.29/4.73
Match Details
26 Jan 201918/192.64/3.01/2.91
Match Details
2 Sept 201818/191.80/3.27/5.10
Match Details
12 Apr 201717/181.57/3.93/6.07
28/04/1817/183.10/3.09/2.44

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.2%Draw 31.3%Away 31.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.103.00
Max2.353.283.39
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Perugia · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.6%29.7%28.7%
Public market40.8%28.7%30.6%
Δ0.8%1.0%1.9%

Perugia vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Perugia
Result vs. Market: Perugia (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PerugiaHalf-time:10Ascoli
15Shots7
6Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Perugia

W 148D 130L 120
Over 2.540
Goals scored479

Away Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026