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Cagliari vs Spal

27 January 2023 at 19:30Unipol Domus, Cagliari
21
Away

Spal

Referee: D. Paterna

Match Summary

Cagliari defeated Spal 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2022.

Rivalry since 2016

Cagliari vs Spal Head to Head Results· 8

Cagliari and Spal have met 8 times — Cagliari won 6, Spal won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Cagliari leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 21 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.63 per match (16 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2016.

Drawn
1
·
1
wins
Total goals
21 · 2.6/match
Both scored
3/8 · 38%
Over 2.5
3/8 · 38%

Recent Meetings

27/08/22Serie B
Match Details
23/06/20Serie A
Match Details
20/10/19Serie A
Match Details
07/04/19Serie A
Match Details
10/11/18Serie A
Match Details
04/02/18Serie A
Match Details
17/09/17Serie A
Match Details
15/08/16Coppa Italia
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Spal show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Cagliari

WWLDWL

Spal

WLWDDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cagliari1wins
0draws2 meetings
Spal1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Cagliari.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 58.5%Draw 28.4%Away 19.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.673.404.75
Max1.733.675.53
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Cagliari · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.0%26.4%17.5%
Public market54.7%26.1%19.2%
Δ1.4%0.3%1.7%

Cagliari vs Spal — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cagliari
Result vs. Market: Cagliari (58%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CagliariHalf-time:11Spal
12Shots9
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Jan 202322/231.71/3.52/5.09
27 Aug 202222/232.75/3.29/2.60

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cagliari

W 114D 98L 66
Over 2.549
Goals scored399

Away Record: Spal

W 53D 55L 48
Over 2.544
Goals scored197

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026