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Sudtirol vs Palermo

14 September 2025 at 16:15Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
02
Referee: Federico La Penna

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Sudtirol 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by J. Pohjanpalo 2′, J. Pohjanpalo 80′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Sudtirol had 50% possession while Palermo held 50%. Sudtirol had 16 shots (2 on target) compared to 12 (4 on target) for Palermo. Sudtirol made 5 substitutions, Palermo made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Sudtirol and Palermo — 2 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
E. PecorinoR. Odogwu
46′
54′
P. PedaS. Diakite
F. TaitS. Molina
62′
63′
E. GyasiC. Gomes
76′
T. AugelloD. Veroli
76′
F. RanocchiaA. Blin
76′
J. Le DouaronA. Palumbo
80′
J. Pohjanpalo

assist: A. Palumbo

S. MerkajJ. Italeng
82′
83′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Sudtirol had 50% possession against Palermo's 50%. Sudtirol registered 16 shots (2 on target) while Palermo managed 12 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 7–3. Fouls committed: 18–19.

Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Total Shots
16
12
Blocked Shots
8
2
Shots inside the Box
10
8
Shots outside the Box
6
4
Fouls
18
19
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
0
0
Ball Possession
50%
50%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
317
334
Accurate Passes
212
230
Pass Accuracy
67%
69%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2022

Sudtirol vs Palermo Head to Head Results· 7

Sudtirol and Palermo have met 7 times — Sudtirol won 2, Palermo won 4, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Palermo leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 17 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.43 per match (6 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2024.

Drawn
1
·
4
wins
Total goals
17 · 2.4/match
Both scored
4/7 · 57%
Over 2.5
4/7 · 57%

Recent Meetings

21/02/26Serie B
Match Details
01/05/25Serie B
Match Details
30/09/24Serie B
Match Details
10/05/24Serie B
Match Details
01/10/23Serie B
Match Details
25/02/23Serie B
Match Details
01/10/22Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Sudtirol have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Sudtirol

DDDLLL

Palermo

WLLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Palermo dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
8 meetings
5
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (25%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Feb 202625/261.68/3.60/4.75
Match Details
14 Sept 202525/263.67/3.21/2.08
Match Details
1 May 202524/252.29/2.99/3.49
Match Details
30 Sept 202424/252.69/3.05/2.75
Match Details
10 May 202423/243.08/3.30/2.32
Match Details
1 Oct 202323/241.65/3.75/5.98
Match Details
25 Feb 202322/232.35/3.16/3.42
Match Details
1 Oct 202222/231.91/3.37/4.34
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 27.2%Draw 31.2%Away 48.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.603.202.05
Max3.753.222.11
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Palermo · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market25.4%29.5%45.1%
Public market25.8%29.0%45.2%

Sudtirol vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SudtirolHalf-time:01Palermo
16Shots12
2Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 54L 52
Over 2.543
Goals scored172

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026