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Juve Stabia vs Mantova

30 September 2025 at 19:30Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
21
Referee: Andrea Calzavara

Match Summary

Juve Stabia defeated Mantova 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by M. Ruggero 5′, L. Candellone 20′, L. Mancuso 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Juve Stabia had 43% possession while Mantova held 57%. Juve Stabia had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 15 (6 on target) for Mantova. Juve Stabia made 5 substitutions, Mantova made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Juve Stabia and Mantova — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
L. Candellone

assist: M. Varnier

20′
L. CandelloneF. Maistro
31′
Half Time
N. MostiC. Pierobon
46′
A. GabrielloniR. Burnete
53′
56′
T. MarrasA. Fiori
77′
F. ArtioliD. Mensah
M. RuggeroM. Bellich
79′
K. PiscopoF. Zuccon
79′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Juve Stabia had 43% possession against Mantova's 57%. Juve Stabia registered 10 shots (4 on target) while Mantova managed 15 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 20–16.

Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Total Shots
10
15
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots inside the Box
9
11
Shots outside the Box
1
4
Fouls
20
16
Corner Kicks
4
4
Offsides
2
0
Ball Possession
43%
57%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
2
Total Passes
371
491
Accurate Passes
298
440
Pass Accuracy
80%
90%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2024

Juve Stabia vs Mantova Head to Head Results· 4

Juve Stabia and Mantova have met 4 times — Juve Stabia won 1, Mantova won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. Mantova leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 4 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (3 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2024.

Drawn
1
·
2
wins
Total goals
10 · 2.5/match
Both scored
2/4 · 50%
Over 2.5
1/4 · 25%

Recent Meetings

08/03/26Serie B
Match Details
08/03/25Serie B
Match Details
28/08/24Serie B
Match Details
11/05/24Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Juve Stabia have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Mantova show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Mantova

LWWLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Juve Stabia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Mar 202625/262.45/3.20/2.82
Match Details
30 Sept 202525/261.69/3.72/5.08
Match Details
8 Mar 202524/252.69/3.02/2.83
Match Details
28 Aug 202424/252.36/3.22/3.03
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.3%Draw 26.9%Away 19.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.573.544.92
Max1.803.905.25
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Juve Stabia · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.4%27.1%19.5%
Public market58.8%23.7%17.6%
Δ5.4%3.5%1.9%

Juve Stabia vs Mantova — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Juve Stabia
Result vs. Market: Juve Stabia (59%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Juve StabiaHalf-time:20Mantova
10Shots15
4Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Juve Stabia

W 66D 79L 95
Over 2.551
Goals scored277

Away Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026