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Sudtirol vs Cesena

25 October 2025 at 14:00Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
01
Away

Cesena

Referee: Andrea Zanotti

Match Summary

Cesena defeated Sudtirol 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by C. Shpendi 31′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Sudtirol had 45% possession while Cesena held 55%. Sudtirol had 14 shots (2 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for Cesena. Sudtirol made 5 substitutions, Cesena made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Sudtirol and Cesena — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
31′
Half Time
J. MartiniM. Coulibaly
46′
F. BordonA. Masiello
55′
S. DaviK. Zedadka
62′
73′
R. CiervoE. Adamo
73′
T. BertiM. Guidi
R. OdogwuJ. Italeng
78′
80′
G. FrabottaR. Celia
80′
J. BlesaS. Balde
Full Time

Match Statistics

Sudtirol had 45% possession against Cesena's 55%. Sudtirol registered 14 shots (2 on target) while Cesena managed 5 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 8–4. Fouls committed: 16–18.

Shots on Goal
2
1
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Total Shots
14
5
Blocked Shots
6
1
Shots inside the Box
10
4
Shots outside the Box
4
1
Fouls
16
18
Corner Kicks
8
4
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
45%
55%
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
2
Total Passes
374
477
Accurate Passes
263
374
Pass Accuracy
70%
78%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2019

Sudtirol vs Cesena Head to Head Results· 6

Sudtirol and Cesena have met 6 times — Sudtirol won 1, Cesena won 1, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.33 per match (4 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Cesena are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–1 in 2026.

Drawn
4
·
1
wins
Total goals
8 · 1.3/match
Both scored
3/6 · 50%
Over 2.5
0/6 · 0%

Recent Meetings

06/04/26Serie B
Match Details
05/04/25Serie B
Match Details
03/11/24Serie B
Match Details
25/04/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
09/01/21Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
23/10/19Serie C - Girone B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 11 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Sudtirol have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Cesena show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Sudtirol

DDDLLL

Cesena

LDDLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
4 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Cesena.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Apr 202625/262.05/3.20/3.30
Match Details
25 Oct 202525/262.79/3.16/2.57
Match Details
5 Apr 202524/252.54/3.10/2.96
Match Details
3 Nov 202424/251.88/3.24/4.47
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.8%Draw 31.6%Away 38.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.753.072.45
Max2.843.252.69
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.5%31.0%35.4%
Public market33.7%28.5%37.8%
Δ0.1%2.5%2.4%

Sudtirol vs Cesena — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cesena
Result vs. Market: Cesena (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SudtirolHalf-time:01Cesena
14Shots5
2Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sudtirol

W 46D 54L 52
Over 2.543
Goals scored172

Away Record: Cesena

W 182D 201L 189
Over 2.543
Goals scored685

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026