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Palermo vs Mantova

4 March 2026 at 19:00Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
21
Referee: G. Ayroldi

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Mantova 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by F. Ranocchia 2′, J. Pohjanpalo 38′, T. Marras 68′ (pen.). 8 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Palermo had 54% possession while Mantova held 46%. Palermo had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Mantova. Expected goals: Palermo 1.48 — Mantova 1.05. Palermo made 5 substitutions, Mantova made 5. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (Alexis Blin 66′).

Match Events

Key match events between Palermo and Mantova — 3 goals and 10 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
F. Ranocchia

assist: T. Augello

2′
Half Time
46′
D. BragantiniF. Paoletti
54′
A. DembeleT. Maggioni
Card upgrade66′
VAR
68′
T. Marras

Penalty

A. PalumboC. Gomes
69′
J. Le DouaronD. Johnsen
77′
77′
M. CapriniN. Buso
77′
A. CastelliniL. Mancuso
P. PedaG. Magnani
85′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Palermo had 54% possession against Mantova's 46%. Palermo registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Mantova managed 7 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 9–2. Fouls committed: 23–12.

Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
9
2
Total Shots
17
7
Blocked Shots
3
2
Shots inside the Box
12
2
Shots outside the Box
5
5
Fouls
23
12
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
0
4
Ball Possession
54%
46%
Yellow Cards
4
4
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
3
Total Passes
364
321
Accurate Passes
297
252
Pass Accuracy
82%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
1.05
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.75
-0.75

Rivalry since 2024

Palermo vs Mantova Head to Head Results· 3

Palermo and Mantova have met 3 times — Palermo won 0, Mantova won 0, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (3 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Palermo are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

0
wins
Drawn
3
·
0
wins
Total goals
6 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

11/01/26Serie B
Match Details
16/02/25Serie B
Match Details
30/10/24Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Palermo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Mantova show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Palermo

WLLWDW

Mantova

LWWLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Palermo1wins
3draws4 meetings
Mantova0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 8.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 65.4%Draw 25.6%Away 17.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.533.905.75
Max1.533.905.75
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Palermo · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (65%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:20Mantova
17Shots7
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Mar 202625/261.53/3.90/5.75
11 Jan 202625/263.40/3.40/2.05
16 Feb 202524/251.76/3.24/5.12
30 Oct 202424/252.75/3.23/2.57

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Away Record: Mantova

W 94D 101L 91
Over 2.541
Goals scored327

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026