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Carrarese vs Palermo

8 March 2026 at 16:15Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
01
Referee: M. Piccinini

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Carrarese 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by J. Pohjanpalo 19′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Carrarese had 61% possession while Palermo held 39%. Carrarese had 13 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Palermo. Expected goals: Carrarese 1.74 — Palermo 1.70. Carrarese made 5 substitutions, Palermo made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Carrarese and Palermo — 1 goal and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
E. GyasiB. Bereszynski
46′
C. GomesJ. Segre
51′
P. PedaG. Magnani
65′
J. Le DouaronD. Johnsen
F. MelegoniT. Rubino
66′
N. BelloniJ. Rouhi
67′
E. TorregrossaF. Di Stefano
78′
L. HasaN. Sekulov
87′
N. CalabreseD. Bouah
87′
87′
A. PalumboS. Giovane
Full Time

Match Statistics

Carrarese had 61% possession against Palermo's 39%. Carrarese registered 13 shots (3 on target) while Palermo managed 13 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 9–5. Fouls committed: 14–9.

Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
8
2
Total Shots
13
13
Blocked Shots
2
5
Shots inside the Box
8
7
Shots outside the Box
5
6
Fouls
14
9
Corner Kicks
9
5
Offsides
4
3
Ball Possession
61%
39%
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
3
Total Passes
425
283
Accurate Passes
342
197
Pass Accuracy
80%
70%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
1.70
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.63
0.63

Rivalry since 2024

Carrarese vs Palermo Head to Head Results· 3

Carrarese and Palermo have met 3 times — Carrarese won 1, Palermo won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2024. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (2 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2025.

Drawn
1
·
1
wins
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

29/11/25Serie B
Match Details
13/05/25Serie B
Match Details
07/12/24Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 50 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carrarese have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Palermo show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Carrarese

LDLDLW

Palermo

WLLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Carrarese.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

8 Mar 202625/263.25/3.25/2.20
Match Details
29 Nov 202525/261.68/3.40/5.25
Match Details
13 May 202524/251.58/4.17/5.44
Match Details
7 Dec 202424/253.39/3.17/2.28
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.8%Draw 30.8%Away 45.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.253.252.20
Max3.253.252.20
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Palermo · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarrareseHalf-time:01Palermo
13Shots13
3Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carrarese

W 21D 26L 29
Over 2.547
Goals scored86

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026