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Padova vs Palermo

21 March 2026 at 14:00Stadio Euganeo, Padova
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Padova

01
Referee: L. Marinelli

Match Events

Kick Off
VAR
24′Card upgrade
Half Time
46′
A. PalumboP. Peda
54′
P. CeccaroniG. Magnani
P. FusiPapu Gomez
58′
M. BortolussiG. Caprari
64′
64′
J. PohjanpaloJ. Le Douaron
64′
J. SegreS. Giovane
P. GhiglioneG. Favale
65′
78′
D. JohnsenA. Vasic
F. BelliC. Buonaiuto
80′
90′
M. Bani

assist: P. Peda

Full Time

Match Statistics

Padova had 66% possession against Palermo's 34%. Padova registered 14 shots (2 on target) while Palermo managed 11 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 9–4. Fouls committed: 10–12.

Shots on Goal
2
1
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Total Shots
14
11
Blocked Shots
6
6
Shots inside the Box
8
9
Shots outside the Box
6
2
Fouls
10
12
Corner Kicks
9
4
Offsides
5
1
Ball Possession
66%
34%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
2
Total Passes
513
266
Accurate Passes
437
199
Pass Accuracy
85%
75%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
1.32
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.33
0.33

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Padova 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by M. Bani 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Padova had 66% possession while Palermo held 34%. Padova had 14 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (1 on target) for Palermo. Expected goals: Padova 1.59 — Palermo 1.32. Padova made 4 substitutions, Palermo made 5. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (Rui Modesto 24′).

Rivalry since 2018

Padova vs Palermo Head to Head Results· 5

0
wins
Drawn
1
·
4
wins
Total goals
9 · 1.8/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
1/5 · 20%

Recent Meetings

27/12/25Serie B
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12/06/22Serie C - Girone A
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05/06/22Serie C - Girone A
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22/04/19Serie B
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08/12/18Serie B
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Padova

WWLWWL

Palermo

WLLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Palermo dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Padova0wins
1draws6 meetings
Palermo5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 21.1%Draw 27.8%Away 58.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.753.601.71
Max4.753.601.71
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Palermo · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (58%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PadovaHalf-time:00Palermo
14Shots11
2Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Mar 202625/264.75/3.60/1.71
27 Dec 202525/261.46/3.80/6.50
22 Apr 201918/191.46/3.92/8.50
8 Dec 201818/193.79/3.20/2.08
9 Aug 201313/142.78/3.09/2.65
2 Aug 201413/141.58/3.64/6.59

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Padova

W 92D 107L 123
Over 2.546
Goals scored360

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 92
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026