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Panetolikos vs Larisa

12 May 2026 at 17:00Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
11
Away

Larisa

Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis

Match Summary

Panetolikos and Larisa drew 1:1. The match was played in Super League 1 2025. Goals were scored by L. Tupta 58′, J. Garcia 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Panetolikos had 69% possession while Larisa held 31%. Panetolikos had 17 shots (6 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Larisa. Expected goals: Panetolikos 1.56 — Larisa 0.90. Panetolikos made 5 substitutions, Larisa made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Panetolikos and Larisa — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
F. PerezD. Olafsson
58′
L. Tupta

assist: A. Sagal

Y. BadjiJ. Garcia
68′
Farley RosaK. Aleksic
77′
Esteban DiegoJ. Aguirre
77′
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Panetolikos had 69% possession against Larisa's 31%. Panetolikos registered 17 shots (6 on target) while Larisa managed 7 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 11–1. Fouls committed: 13–11.

Shots on Goal
6
3
Shots Off Goal
6
3
Total Shots
17
7
Blocked Shots
5
1
Shots inside the Box
9
5
Shots outside the Box
8
2
Fouls
13
11
Corner Kicks
11
1
Offsides
0
1
Ball Possession
69%
31%
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
4
Total Passes
535
241
Accurate Passes
469
169
Pass Accuracy
88%
70%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
0.90
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.42
0.42

Lineups

Panetolikos lined up in a 4-1-4-1 formation under Giannis Anastasiou, while Larisa deployed a 4-4-1-1 under Gianluca Festa.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Panetolikos is 6.84, compared to 6.81 for Larisa. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Panetolikos's highest-rated starter is Y. Kucherenko (7.45), while Larisa's best-rated player is T. Venetikidis (7.06).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Panetolikos have contributed 13 goals and 13 assists this season, led by A. Matan (5G). Larisa's starters account for 25 goals and 9 assists, spearheaded by L. Tupta (8G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Panetolikos deploy 3 defenders rated 6.56 on average, against Larisa's 4-man backline averaging 6.77. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Panetolikos field 6 midfielders averaging 6.85, versus Larisa's 4 rated 6.90. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Panetolikos start 1 forward(s) averaging 7.01, compared to 2 for Larisa averaging 6.60. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 77% for Panetolikos and 78% for Larisa. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Panetolikos's starters have collected 37 yellow cards this season, compared to 48 for Larisa. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Panetolikos's starting XI is 27.3 (youngest: Lenny Lobato (24), oldest: A. Bouchalakis (32)), while Larisa average 29.3 (youngest: T. Venetikidis (24), oldest: A. Papageorgiou (38)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Panetolikos's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 21 for Larisa. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Panetolikos4-1-4-14-4-1-1Larisa
GKDEFMIDFWD
99Kuchere.35Mavrias28Kojic16Sielis15Manrique41Bouchal.70Lobato22Diego10Matan19Rosa25Badji21Venetik.22Papageo.33Rosic28Batubin.27Macon25Sagal15Naor31Atanasov29Tupta8Perez19Pasas

Substitutes

Coach: Giannis Anastasiou

Substitutes

Coach: Gianluca Festa

PanetolikosPosition StrengthLarisa
6.84
Avg Rating
6.81
7.45Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.06
0G 0A0G 0A
6.56Defender (3 v 4)6.77
1G 2A1G 1A
6.85Midfielder (6 v 4)6.90
10G 7A15G 7A
7.01Forward (1 v 2)6.60
2G 4A9G 1A
Panetolikos4-1-4-1
99GoalkeeperY. Kucherenko7.5
35DefenderC. Mavrias6.61G
16DefenderC. Sielis6.61A
15DefenderC. Manrique6.51A
28MidfielderL. Kojic
41MidfielderA. Bouchalakis7.11G1A
70MidfielderLenny Lobato6.51G1A
22MidfielderEsteban Diego
10MidfielderA. Matan7.05G3A
19MidfielderFarley Rosa6.93G2A
25ForwardY. Badji7.02G4A
Larisa4-4-1-1
21GoalkeeperT. Venetikidis7.1
22DefenderA. Papageorgiou6.71A
33DefenderL. Rosic6.8
28DefenderD. Batubinsika6.8
27DefenderY. Macon6.81G
25MidfielderA. Sagal6.86G3A
15MidfielderG. Naor6.81A
31MidfielderJ. Atanasov7.11G1A
29MidfielderL. Tupta6.98G2A
8ForwardF. Perez6.74G
19ForwardG. Pasas6.55G1A

Rivalry since 2012

Panetolikos vs Larisa Head to Head Results· 17

Panetolikos and Larisa have met 17 times — Panetolikos won 7, Larisa won 5, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Panetolikos leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (28 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (65%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Panetolikos are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2018.

Drawn
5
·
5
wins
Total goals
48 · 2.8/match
Both scored
10/17 · 59%
Over 2.5
11/17 · 65%

Recent Meetings

08/04/26Super League 1
Match Details
07/02/26Super League 1
Match Details
08/11/25Super League 1
Match Details
03/04/21Super League 1
Match Details
28/02/21Super League 1
Match Details
07/12/20Super League 1
Match Details
15/06/20Super League 1
Match Details
22/01/20Super League 1
Match Details
19/10/19Super League 1
Match Details
11/02/19Super League 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Panetolikos have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Larisa show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Larisa

LWDDDL

Match Prediction

Predicted winnerPanetolikos

Panetolikos

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Larisa

10%

Away win

Statistical tip

Double chance: Panetolikos or draw

57%Form43%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
71%Goals29%
71%Head-to-head29%
57.8%Overall42.2%

Bookmaker Odds

13 bookmakers

Best price

Panetolikos

2.41

Pinnacle

Draw

3.15

Unibet

Larisa

3.30

Pinnacle

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Panetolikos.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 May 202625/262.10/3.10/3.10
Match Details
8 Apr 202625/262.25/3.25/3.10
Match Details
7 Feb 202625/261.68/3.40/5.25
Match Details
8 Nov 202525/262.20/3.25/3.25
Match Details
3 Apr 202120/211.97/3.28/3.97
Match Details
28 Feb 202120/212.44/3.13/3.05
Match Details
7 Dec 202020/212.50/2.84/3.26
Match Details
15 Jun 202019/201.99/3.33/3.83
Match Details
22 Jan 202019/201.76/3.42/4.86
Match Details
19 Oct 201919/202.17/3.13/3.66
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 12.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.6%Draw 32.3%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.103.10
Max2.103.103.10
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Panetolikos · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Panetolikos (48%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PanetolikosHalf-time:00Larisa
17Shots7
6Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Panetolikos

W 127D 118L 207
Over 2.541
Goals scored431

Away Record: Larisa

W 116D 140L 182
Over 2.541
Goals scored423

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026