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Süper LigSeason 2023

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor

27 April 2024 at 14:00Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
Referee: H. Meler

Match Summary

Kasımpaşa defeated Samsunspor 1:0. The match was played in Süper Lig 2023.

Rivalry since 2023

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Head to Head Results· 5

Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor have met 5 times — Kasımpaşa won 1, Samsunspor won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. Samsunspor leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 5 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (5 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2023.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
14 · 2.8/match
Both scored
2/5 · 40%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

30/01/26Süper Lig
Match Details
17/09/25Süper Lig
Match Details
29/03/25Süper Lig
Match Details
26/10/24Süper Lig
Match Details
09/12/23Süper Lig
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Kasımpaşa have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Samsunspor show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Samsunspor.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Jan 202625/263.10/3.10/2.40
Match Details
17 Sept 202525/261.77/3.74/4.41
Match Details
29 Mar 202524/251.96/3.48/3.83
Match Details
26 Oct 202424/252.63/3.29/2.65
Match Details
27 Apr 202423/242.20/3.66/3.10
Match Details
9 Dec 202323/242.07/3.64/3.24
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.4%Draw 27.3%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.403.00
Max2.253.883.20
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite:Kasımpaşa · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.8%25.0%31.2%
Public market42.3%28.0%29.7%
Δ1.5%3.0%1.5%

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Kasımpaşa
Result vs. Market: Kasımpaşa (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

KasımpaşaHalf-time:10Samsunspor
11Shots13
2Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Kasımpaşa

W 193D 147L 254
Over 2.559
Goals scored836

Away Record: Samsunspor

W 193D 132L 225
Over 2.552
Goals scored716

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026