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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

18 August 2024 at 18:00Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián

Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano defeated Real Sociedad 2:1. The match was played in La Liga 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Results· 23

Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano have met 23 times — Real Sociedad won 9, Rayo Vallecano won 5, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Real Sociedad leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 71 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.09 per match (41 for the home side, 30 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (61%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Rayo Vallecano are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2026.

Drawn
9
·
Total goals
71 · 3.1/match
Both scored
13/23 · 57%
Over 2.5
14/23 · 61%

Recent Meetings

26/04/26La Liga
Match Details
05/10/25La Liga
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16/03/25La Liga
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16/01/25Copa del Rey
Match Details
27/01/24La Liga
Match Details
29/10/23La Liga
Match Details
22/04/23La Liga
Match Details
21/01/23La Liga
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10/12/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/05/22La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Real Sociedad have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats. Rayo Vallecano show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (60%) — the odds may underestimate Rayo Vallecano.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

26 Apr 202625/262.70/3.10/2.70
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5 Oct 202525/262.06/3.55/3.63
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16 Mar 202524/252.50/3.08/3.09
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18 Aug 202424/251.59/3.72/6.77
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27 Jan 202423/241.65/3.73/5.62
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29 Oct 202323/243.18/3.17/2.41
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22 Apr 202322/231.66/3.56/5.99
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21 Jan 202322/233.14/3.14/2.44
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1 May 202221/223.27/3.16/2.38
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22 Aug 202121/221.45/4.37/7.67
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Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 62.8%Draw 26.9%Away 14.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.573.706.50
Max1.613.757.00
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Real Sociedad · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.9%25.9%14.2%
Public market60.9%25.5%13.7%

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rayo Vallecano
Result vs. Market: Real Sociedad (63%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Real SociedadHalf-time:00Rayo Vallecano
11Shots12
5Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Real Sociedad

W 430D 308L 408
Over 2.550
Goals scored1535

Away Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026