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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

5 October 2025 at 17:30Reale Arena, San Sebastian
Referee: Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla

Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano defeated Real Sociedad 1:0. The match was played in La Liga 2025. Goals were scored by Pacha 84′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Real Sociedad had 51% possession while Rayo Vallecano held 49%. Real Sociedad had 10 shots (3 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Rayo Vallecano. Expected goals: Real Sociedad 0.79 — Rayo Vallecano 0.80. Real Sociedad made 4 substitutions, Rayo Vallecano made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano — 1 goal and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
A. GarciaF. Perez
C. SolerT. Kubo
61′
G. GuedesL. Sucic
61′
65′
I. PalazonP. Diaz
71′
P. CissJ. Vertrouwd
77′
J. de FrutosR. Nteka
77′
AlemaoPacha
A. BarrenetxeaJ. Karrikaburu
80′
B. MendezP. Marin
80′
84′
Pacha

assist: A. Ratiu

Full Time

Match Statistics

Real Sociedad had 51% possession against Rayo Vallecano's 49%. Real Sociedad registered 10 shots (3 on target) while Rayo Vallecano managed 7 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–5. Fouls committed: 13–21.

Shots on Goal
3
2
Shots Off Goal
1
3
Total Shots
10
7
Blocked Shots
6
2
Shots inside the Box
7
5
Shots outside the Box
3
2
Fouls
13
21
Corner Kicks
7
5
Offsides
0
1
Ball Possession
51%
49%
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
3
Total Passes
421
414
Accurate Passes
338
328
Pass Accuracy
80%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
0.80
Goals Prevented (xGP)
1.02
1.02

Rivalry since 2011

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Results· 23

Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano have met 23 times — Real Sociedad won 9, Rayo Vallecano won 5, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Real Sociedad leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 73 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.17 per match (42 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 14 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (65%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Real Sociedad are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2026.

Drawn
9
·
Total goals
73 · 3.2/match
Both scored
14/23 · 61%
Over 2.5
15/23 · 65%

Recent Meetings

26/04/26La Liga
Match Details
16/03/25La Liga
Match Details
16/01/25Copa del Rey
Match Details
18/08/24La Liga
Match Details
27/01/24La Liga
Match Details
29/10/23La Liga
Match Details
22/04/23La Liga
Match Details
21/01/23La Liga
Match Details
10/12/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
01/05/22La Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Real Sociedad have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats. Rayo Vallecano show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

26 Apr 202625/262.70/3.10/2.70
Match Details
5 Oct 202525/262.06/3.55/3.63
Match Details
16 Mar 202524/252.50/3.08/3.09
Match Details
18 Aug 202424/251.59/3.72/6.77
Match Details
27 Jan 202423/241.65/3.73/5.62
Match Details
29 Oct 202323/243.18/3.17/2.41
Match Details
22 Apr 202322/231.66/3.56/5.99
Match Details
21 Jan 202322/233.14/3.14/2.44
Match Details
1 May 202221/223.27/3.16/2.38
Match Details
22 Aug 202121/221.45/4.37/7.67
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.5%Draw 28.2%Away 27.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.503.50
Max2.073.603.76
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Real Sociedad · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.7%27.6%25.7%
Public market46.4%26.4%27.2%
Δ0.3%1.2%1.5%

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rayo Vallecano
Result vs. Market: Real Sociedad (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Real SociedadHalf-time:00Rayo Vallecano
10Shots7
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Real Sociedad

W 430D 308L 408
Over 2.550
Goals scored1535

Away Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 208D 164L 318
Over 2.553
Goals scored793

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026