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Bolton vs Lincoln

1 October 2022 at 15:00University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton
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Bolton

20
Referee: N. Hair

Match Summary

Bolton defeated Lincoln 2:0. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2020

Bolton vs Lincoln Head to Head Results· 11

Bolton and Lincoln have met 11 times — Bolton won 6, Lincoln won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Bolton leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (18 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lincoln are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.

6
wins
Drawn
3
·
2
wins
Total goals
31 · 2.8/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

14/02/26League One
Match Details
23/08/25League One
Match Details
21/04/25League One
Match Details
14/01/25EFL Trophy
Match Details
29/12/24League One
Match Details
26/12/23League One
Match Details
05/08/23League One
Match Details
30/12/22League One
Match Details
22/02/22League One
Match Details
17/08/21League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Lincoln show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bolton

WWWLDD

Lincoln

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Bolton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

6
wins
draws
3
10 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Feb 202625/262.30/3.25/2.75
Match Details
23 Aug 202525/261.71/3.62/4.88
Match Details
21 Apr 202524/253.15/3.38/2.25
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29 Dec 202424/252.13/3.40/3.40
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26 Dec 202323/243.35/3.41/2.16
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5 Aug 202323/241.69/3.55/4.87
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30 Dec 202222/233.39/3.37/2.14
Match Details
1 Oct 202222/231.63/3.82/5.70
Match Details
22 Feb 202221/221.96/3.60/3.76
Match Details
17 Aug 202121/222.23/3.40/3.18
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.2%Draw 26.2%Away 17.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.603.705.25
Max1.653.966.00
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Bolton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market58.9%24.5%16.6%
Public market59.3%24.9%15.8%

Bolton vs Lincoln — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bolton
Result vs. Market: Bolton (61%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:10Lincoln
9Shots7
5Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 138D 82L 90
Over 2.547
Goals scored454

Away Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026