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Lincoln vs Bolton

14 February 2026 at 15:00LNER stadium, Lincoln
11
Away

Bolton

Referee: W. Finnie

Match Summary

Lincoln and Bolton drew 1:1. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by J. Moylan 25′, S. Dalby 82′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Lincoln had 39% possession while Bolton held 61%. Lincoln had 22 shots (10 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Bolton. Expected goals: Lincoln 3.44 — Bolton 0.93. Lincoln made 4 substitutions, Bolton made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Lincoln and Bolton — 2 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
J. Moylan

assist: R. Hackett-Fairchild

25′
Half Time
60′
F. DraperB. House
78′
J. MoylanT. Bayliss
78′
I. VarfolomeevR. Towler
79′
79′
J. McAteeR. Rodrigues
82′
R. StreetR. One
90+4′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Lincoln had 39% possession against Bolton's 61%. Lincoln registered 22 shots (10 on target) while Bolton managed 8 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 11–11.

Shots on Goal
10
3
Shots Off Goal
7
3
Total Shots
22
8
Blocked Shots
5
2
Shots inside the Box
19
5
Shots outside the Box
3
3
Fouls
11
11
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
4
0
Ball Possession
39%
61%
Yellow Cards
2
5
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
9
Total Passes
279
447
Accurate Passes
179
357
Pass Accuracy
64%
80%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
0.93
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2020

Lincoln vs Bolton Head to Head Results· 11

Lincoln and Bolton have met 11 times — Lincoln won 2, Bolton won 7, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2020. Bolton leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (12 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.

2
wins
Drawn
2
·
7
wins
Total goals
31 · 2.8/match
Both scored
5/11 · 45%
Over 2.5
5/11 · 45%

Recent Meetings

23/08/25League One
Match Details
21/04/25League One
Match Details
14/01/25EFL Trophy
Match Details
29/12/24League One
Match Details
26/12/23League One
Match Details
05/08/23League One
Match Details
30/12/22League One
Match Details
01/10/22League One
Match Details
22/02/22League One
Match Details
17/08/21League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lincoln have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Bolton show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Lincoln

WWWDWW

Bolton

WWWLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Bolton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
3
10 meetings
6
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Feb 202625/262.30/3.25/2.75
Match Details
23 Aug 202525/261.71/3.62/4.88
Match Details
21 Apr 202524/253.15/3.38/2.25
Match Details
29 Dec 202424/252.13/3.40/3.40
Match Details
26 Dec 202323/243.35/3.41/2.16
Match Details
5 Aug 202323/241.69/3.55/4.87
Match Details
30 Dec 202222/233.39/3.37/2.14
Match Details
1 Oct 202222/231.63/3.82/5.70
Match Details
22 Feb 202221/221.96/3.60/3.76
Match Details
17 Aug 202121/222.23/3.40/3.18
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 10.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.5%Draw 30.8%Away 36.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.252.75
Max2.303.252.75
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Lincoln (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LincolnHalf-time:10Bolton
22Shots8
10Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Away Record: Bolton

W 138D 82L 90
Over 2.547
Goals scored454

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026