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League OneSeason 2023

Derby vs Portsmouth

16 September 2023 at 15:00Pride Park Stadium, Derby
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Derby

11
Referee: R. Welch

Match Summary

Derby and Portsmouth drew 1:1. The match was played in League One 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Derby vs Portsmouth Head to Head Results· 10

Derby and Portsmouth have met 10 times — Derby won 4, Portsmouth won 1, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Derby leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.70 per match (17 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (70%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Derby are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

4
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
27 · 2.7/match
Both scored
7/10 · 70%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Meetings

16/03/26Championship
Match Details
20/12/25Championship
Match Details
12/04/25Championship
Match Details
13/12/24Championship
Match Details
02/04/24League One
Match Details
29/04/23League One
Match Details
18/11/22League One
Match Details
12/08/15League Cup
Match Details
21/04/12Championship
Match Details
29/10/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Derby have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Portsmouth show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

0
wins
draws
4
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Portsmouth.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 Apr 202423/242.29/3.29/3.18
Match Details
16 Sept 202323/242.14/3.35/3.29
Match Details
29 Apr 202322/231.51/4.18/6.67
Match Details
18 Nov 202222/232.39/3.38/2.93
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.8%Draw 29.9%Away 30.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.103.10
Max2.203.543.47
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.8%27.3%27.9%
Public market43.2%28.0%28.8%
Δ1.6%0.6%0.9%

Derby vs Portsmouth — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Derby (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:00Portsmouth
8Shots14
1Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 49D 21L 22
Over 2.549
Goals scored145

Away Record: Portsmouth

W 158D 94L 105
Over 2.549
Goals scored515

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026