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Lincoln vs Crawley Town

4 March 2025 at 19:45LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
41
Referee: J. Smith

Match Summary

Lincoln defeated Crawley Town 4:1. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2017

Lincoln vs Crawley Town Head to Head Results· 6

Lincoln and Crawley Town have met 6 times — Lincoln won 2, Crawley Town won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Crawley Town leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (8 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2024.

2
wins
Drawn
1
·
Total goals
18 · 3.0/match
Both scored
2/6 · 33%
Over 2.5
4/6 · 67%

Recent Meetings

30/11/24FA Cup
Match Details
22/10/24League One
Match Details
23/03/19League Two
Match Details
08/09/18League Two
Match Details
17/02/18League Two
Match Details
28/10/17League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Lincoln have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Crawley Town show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

1
wins
draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Lincoln.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Mar 202524/251.77/3.50/4.70
Match Details
22 Oct 202424/253.48/3.45/2.11
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.4%Draw 28.5%Away 21.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.713.404.60
Max1.813.614.75
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Lincoln · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.1%26.6%20.2%
Public market53.7%27.0%19.3%

Lincoln vs Crawley Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lincoln
Result vs. Market: Lincoln (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LincolnHalf-time:31Crawley Town
17Shots8
7Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lincoln

W 129D 84L 98
Over 2.545
Goals scored433

Away Record: Crawley Town

W 57D 50L 77
Over 2.548
Goals scored217

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026