Ligue 1· Season 2025
Match Summary
Marseille defeated Toulouse 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by M. Greenwood 18′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Toulouse had 49% possession while Marseille held 51%. Toulouse had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Marseille. Expected goals: Toulouse 0.91 — Marseille 1.13. Toulouse made 5 substitutions, Marseille made 4.
Match Events
assist: I. Paixao
Match Statistics
Toulouse had 49% possession against Marseille's 51%. Toulouse registered 12 shots (2 on target) while Marseille managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 15–14.
Toulouse and Marseille have met 28 times — Toulouse won 1, Marseille won 16, with 11 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 28 meetings. A combined 80 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.86 per match (24 for the home side, 56 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Marseille are currently unbeaten in the last 24 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2022.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Marseille dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Marseille.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| Max | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 12 May 2026