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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United

30 December 2023 at 17:30The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

Match Summary

Nottingham Forest defeated Manchester United 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2023.

Rivalry since 2022

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United Head to Head Results· 10

Nottingham Forest and Manchester United have met 10 times — Nottingham Forest won 2, Manchester United won 7, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Manchester United leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.10 per match (10 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2026.

Total goals
31 · 3.1/match
Both scored
4/10 · 40%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Meetings

28/02/24FA Cup
Match Details
01/02/23League Cup
Match Details
25/01/23League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Manchester United show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Manchester United dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 May 202625/261.60/4.20/5.25
Match Details
1 Nov 202525/263.37/3.81/2.05
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1 Apr 202524/252.33/3.42/3.15
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7 Dec 202424/251.67/3.98/5.14
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30 Dec 202323/243.21/3.64/2.13
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26 Aug 202323/241.29/5.66/8.37
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16 Apr 202322/235.19/3.94/1.67
Match Details
27 Dec 202222/231.31/5.48/10.72
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.2%Draw 27.5%Away 46.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.602.10
Max3.333.722.15
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite:Manchester United · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market29.0%26.0%45.0%
Public market29.6%26.3%44.1%

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Nottingham Forest
Result vs. Market: Manchester United (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:00Manchester United
8Shots10
2Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 98D 88L 122
Over 2.548
Goals scored381

Away Record: Manchester United

W 751D 277L 234
Over 2.554
Goals scored2346

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026