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Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest

17 May 2026 at 12:30Old Trafford, Manchester

Match Summary

Manchester United defeated Nottingham Forest 3:2. The match was played in Premier League 2025. Goals were scored by L. Shaw 5′, Morato 53′, M. Cunha 55′, B. Mbeumo 76′, M. Gibbs-White 78′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Manchester United had 49% possession while Nottingham Forest held 51%. Manchester United had 29 shots (8 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Nottingham Forest. Expected goals: Manchester United 4.19 — Nottingham Forest 1.75. Manchester United made 3 substitutions, Nottingham Forest made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Manchester United and Nottingham Forest — 5 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
53′
70′
O. HutchinsonD. Bakwa
70′
C. WoodT. Awoniyi
70′
N. DominguezI. Sangare
B. Mbeumo

assist: B. Fernandes

76′
B. MbeumoJ. Zirkzee
80′
M. CunhaP. Dorgu
80′
CasemiroM. Mount
81′
84′
Igor JesusJ. McAtee
84′
L. NetzCunha
L. Shaw90+3′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Manchester United had 49% possession against Nottingham Forest's 51%. Manchester United registered 29 shots (8 on target) while Nottingham Forest managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 7–6. Fouls committed: 11–5.

Shots on Goal
8
4
Shots Off Goal
9
4
Total Shots
29
11
Blocked Shots
12
3
Shots inside the Box
21
11
Shots outside the Box
8
1
Fouls
11
5
Corner Kicks
7
6
Offsides
0
1
Ball Possession
49%
51%
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
5
Total Passes
427
447
Accurate Passes
376
375
Pass Accuracy
88%
84%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.19
1.75
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.01
0.01

Rivalry since 2022

Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Results· 10

Manchester United and Nottingham Forest have met 10 times — Manchester United won 6, Nottingham Forest won 3, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Manchester United leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.90 per match (19 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2024.

Total goals
29 · 2.9/match
Both scored
4/10 · 40%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Meetings

28/02/24FA Cup
Match Details
01/02/23League Cup
Match Details
25/01/23League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Manchester United have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Nottingham Forest show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Manchester United dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester United.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 May 202625/261.60/4.20/5.25
Match Details
1 Nov 202525/263.37/3.81/2.05
Match Details
1 Apr 202524/252.33/3.42/3.15
Match Details
7 Dec 202424/251.67/3.98/5.14
Match Details
30 Dec 202323/243.21/3.64/2.13
Match Details
26 Aug 202323/241.29/5.66/8.37
Match Details
16 Apr 202322/235.19/3.94/1.67
Match Details
27 Dec 202222/231.31/5.48/10.72
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 62.5%Draw 23.8%Away 19.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.604.205.25
Max1.604.205.25
Over 2.5: 61.7%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Manchester United · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Manchester United
Result vs. Market: Manchester United (63%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Manchester UnitedHalf-time:10Nottingham Forest
29Shots11
8Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Manchester United

W 751D 277L 234
Over 2.554
Goals scored2346

Away Record: Nottingham Forest

W 98D 88L 122
Over 2.548
Goals scored381

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026